The AAG has released their preliminary program for its up and coming Annual Meeting in Washington DC. Part of which are several sessions entitled Perspectives on Geographic Complexity. These sessions where organized by Arika Ligmann-Zielinska, Andrew Crooks , Alison Heppenstall, Moira Zellner , Suzana Dragicevic, Debarchana Ghosh, Tom Evans and Seth Spielman. The session description is as follows:
Understanding geographical systems represents one of the greatest challenges of our time. Complexity has emerged as a useful paradigm to effectively study linked human, socioeconomic, health, and biophysical systems at a variety of different spatial and temporal scales. As a result, descriptive and predictive models of various levels of sophistication and using mostly agents, genetic algorithms, cellular automata and neural networks are now beginning to regularly appear in the geographic literature. However, there still remains many unresolved conceptual, technical and application challenges associated with these complexity based models. The goal of this session is to focus on the following themes:
Understanding geographical systems represents one of the greatest challenges of our time. Complexity has emerged as a useful paradigm to effectively study linked human, socioeconomic, health, and biophysical systems at a variety of different spatial and temporal scales. As a result, descriptive and predictive models of various levels of sophistication and using mostly agents, genetic algorithms, cellular automata and neural networks are now beginning to regularly appear in the geographic literature. However, there still remains many unresolved conceptual, technical and application challenges associated with these complexity based models. The goal of this session is to focus on the following themes:
- Conceptual: shared and unique complexity signatures in geographic systems; existing and emerging geographical and complexity theories; epistemological and ontological influences; complexity based model designs; networks and hybrid models; linking classical and spatial statistics in complexity studies.
- Technical: space-time patterns and dynamics; standardizing the development and representation of complex systems; rule selection and implementation; multiple-scale interactions and structure, system evolution and self-organization; learning and adaptation; calibration, validation and verification; path-dependence; non-linearity.
- Applications: effectiveness of complexity models when embedded in political, institutional and socio-economic systems; human-environment interactions; earth systems science; land use science; landscape ecology; sustainability analysis; infectious and chronic disease; neighborhood effects on health.
Perspectives on Geographic Complexity (1): Theories and Methods
Saturday, 4/17/10, from 8:00 AM - 9:40 AM in Washington Room 5, Marriott Exhibition Level
Chair: Alison Heppenstall - University of Leeds
Abstracts:
Authors: *Sara Metcalf & Michael Widener - University at Buffalo
Title: S(t)imulating (S)pace: Cultivating a Postmodern Geographic (Con)science
Authors: *Amit Patel, School of Public Policy, George Mason University, Phoram Shah - MPA
Title: Slum Formation Theory: A Simulation Approach
Authors: *Itzhak Benenson - Tel Aviv University, Israel, Erez Hatna - Wageningen University, The Netherlands
Title: Warning, the Rationality of Spatial Agents is Bounded!
Authors: *Monica Wachowicz - Wageningen UR, Jack Owens - Idaho State University
Abstract Title: Space-Time Representation of Narrative Knowledge
Author: *Claudio Cioffi-Revilla, - George Mason University
Title: MASON AfriLand: A Regional Multi-Country Agent-Based Model with Cultural and Environmental Dynamics
Perspectives on Geographic Complexity (2): Methods and Data Issues
Saturday, 4/17/10, from 10:00 AM - 11:40 AM in Washington Room 5, Marriott Exhibition Level
Chair: Alison Heppenstall - University of Leeds
Abstracts:
Authors: *H. Van Dyke Parunak & Sven A. Brueckner- Vector Research Center, Division of TTGSI
Title: Polyagent-Based Mapping of Aleatoric Uncertainty in Geospatial Trajectories
Author: *Geoffrey Jacquez - BioMedware, Inc.
Title: space-time intelligence system software for the analysis of complex geographic systems
Authors: *Wenwu Tang - University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, David A. Bennett - University of Iowa, Shaowen Wang - University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Title: Parallel Agent-based Modeling for Large-scale Geographic Systems
Authors: *Burak Güneralp - Yale University, Michael K. Reilly - Stanford University, & Karen C. Seto - Yale University
Abstract Title: Simulating feedbacks across and among scales in land change science: An operational framework
Author: *Arika Ligmann-Zielinska - Michigan State University
Title: Variance-Based Global Sensitivity Analysis of Decision Making Mechanisms in an Agent-Based Model of Land Use Change
Perspectives on Geographic Complexity (3): Disease and Health Modeling
Saturday, 4/17/10, from 12:40 PM - 2:20 PM in Washington Room 5, Marriott Exhibition Level
Chair: Seth Spielman - Brown University
Abstracts:
12:40 PM Author(s): *Debarchana Ghosh - Kent State University, Rajarshi Guha - National Institute of Health
Title: Identifying optimal risk factors for prediction and interpretation of West Nile virus occurrences using Neural Network
Author: *Gabriela Alcaraz V. - University of Hohenheim
Title: Use of GIS for the analysis of food and nutrition security. An application to Guatemala.
Authors: Joshua King - Department of Geography and Environmental Management, University of Waterloo, *Peter J. Deadman - University of Waterloo
Title: An Agent Based Approach to Epidemiological Modelling of Malaria
Author: *Lara J. Iverson - SUNY University at Buffalo
Title: Incorporating Gender and Stigma in Modeling Tuberculosis Transmission: A Complex Systems Approach
Authors: *Monica Teran-Hernandez - Universidad Nacional Autonoma De Mexico, Unam, Miguel Aguilar Robledo - Universidad AutÓnoma De San Luis Potosl, Jaqueline Calderon Hernandez - Universidad Autonoma De San Luis Potosl, Carlos Felix Garrocho Rangel - Colegio Mexiquense, Ac
Title: The Spatial Dynamics of oncogenic Human Papillomavirus Infection in women from San Luis Potosí, Mexico: Some Preliminary Results
Perspectives on Geographic Complexity (4): Agent-Based Modeling and Sustainability Science
Saturday, 4/17/10, from 2:40 PM - 4:20 PM in Washington Room 5, Marriott Exhibition Level
Chair: Steven M. Manson - University Of Minnesota
Abstracts:
Author: *Qing Tian & Dan Brown - University of Michigan
Abstract Title: Exploring the Dynamics of Sustainability of Coupled Human-Environment Systems using Agent-based Modeling: A Case Study in the Poyang Lake Region of China
Authors: *Dawn C. Parker - University of Waterloo, Daniel G. Brown - University of Michigan
Tatiana Filatova - University of Twente, Rick Riolo - University of Michigan, Derek T. Robinson - University of Michigan, Shipeng Sun - University of Minnesota
Title: A first assessment of the role of land-market dynamics in agent-based land exchange models
Authors: *David A. Bennett - Department of Geography, University of Iowa, Wenwu Tang - Department of Geography and National Center for Supercomputing Applications, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Title: Modeling the Sustainable Use of Common-Pool Resources Using Spatially Aware Intelligent Agents
Author: *Luis E. Fernandez - Carnegie Institution for Science
Title: A Coupled Agent Based Model Platform Examining the Sustainability of Biofuels Production in the Brazilian Cerrado
Authors: *Stephen J. Walsh - University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill & Carlos F. Mena - Universidad San Francisco de Quito
Title: Land Use Change on Household Farms in the Ecuadorian Amazon
Perspectives on Geographic Complexity (5): Modeling Land Use and Land Cover Change
Saturday, 4/17/10, from 4:40 PM - 6:20 PM in Washington Room 5, Marriott Exhibition Level
Chair: Suzana Dragicevic - Simon Fraser University
Abstracts:
4:40 PM Authors: *Moira Zellner - University of Illinois-Chicago & Antonio Aguilera - Colegio de San Luis
Abstract Title: Exploring the effects of land use policies in urban-rural fringe areas in the Mexican context: An agent-based approach
5:00 PM Authors: *Tom Evans - Indiana University, Kellly Caylor - Princeton University
Sean Sweeney - Indiana University, Mateus Batistella - EMBRAPA, Juliana Farinaci - University of Campinas, Emilio Moran - Indiana University
Abstract Title: Balancing Social and Ecological Complexity in Models of Reforestation in Indiana (USA) and São Paulo (Brazil)
5:20 PM Authors: *Christopher Bone, Lilian Alessa, Andy Kliskey - Resilience and Adaptive Management Group, University of Alaska Anchorage & Mark Altaweel - University of Chicago
Abstract Title: Simulating Community Resilience to Freshwater Dynamics with Social Agents
5:40 PM Authors: *Tim Gulden, Gabriel Balan, Jeffrey Bassett, Atesmachew B Hailegiorgis, William G Kennedy - George Mason University & Mark Rouleau - Michigan Technological University
Abstract Title: An agent-based model of land-use driven conflict among pastoralists in the Mandera region of East Africa
6:00 PM Author: *David Donato - United States Geological Survey
Abstract Title: Measuring Conformance of a Grid State to a Stochastic Cellular-Automata Land-Change Model
Perspectives on Geographic Complexity (6): Urban Systems I
Sunday, 4/18/10, from 8:00 AM - 9:40 AM in Washington Room 5, Marriott Exhibition Level
Chair: Moira Zellner - University of Illinois-Chicago
Abstracts:
8:00 AM Authors: *Suzana Dragicevic & Liliana Perez - Simon Fraser University
Abstract Title: Simulating Disease Outbreak in an Urban Environment: Agent Based Approach
8:20 AM Author: *Atesmachew Hailegiorgis - Department of Computational Social Science, Center of Social Complexity, George Mason University
Abstract Title: Changing Residence in the City: An agent based model of Residential Mobility in Arlington County
8:40 AM Author: *Yichun Xie - Eastern Michigan University
Abstract Title: Simulating Urban Development in Water-constrained Northwest China: A Case Study along the Mid-Section of Silk Road
9:00 AM Authors: *Ninghua Wang - San Diego Stata University/University of California Santa Barbara & Lin Liu - University of Cincinnati
Abstract Title: Analyzing spatial effects of hotspot policing with a simulation approach
9:20 AM Authors: *Dominik P.H. Kalisch, *Hermann Koehler, Reinhard Koenig, Jens Steinhoefel & Frauke Anders - Bauhaus University, Weimar
Abstract Title: Computer-Based Methods for a Socially Sustainable Urban and Regional Planing
Perspectives on Geographic Complexity (7): Urban Systems II
Sunday, 4/18/10, from 10:00 AM - 11:40 AM in Washington Room 5, Marriott Exhibition Level
Chair: Andrew Crooks - George Mason University
Abstracts:
Authors: *Fraser Morgan & David O’Sullivan - University of Auckland
Abstract Title: Residential developers: Competition, behaviour and the resulting urban landscape
Authors: *Christian Urich, Robert Sitzenfrei, & Wolfgang Rauch - Unit of Environmental Engineering, University of Innsbruck
Abstract Title: Stochastic Design of Urban Areas for Benchmarking Energy Strategies
Authors: *Raymond Cabrera & Peter J Deadman - University of Waterloo
Abstract Title: Household networks and urbanization in an agent-based model of the Amazonian varzea
Authors: *Jing Wu & Zheng Wang - Chinese Academy of Sciences
Abstract Title: Agent-based simulation of the spatial evolution of the historical population in China
Author: *Hoda Osman - George Mason University
Title: Urban Growth and Land Titling: An agent-based comparative model of two Informal Settlements in Cairo, Egypt
All the sessions are sponsored by the AAG's
Spatial Analysis and Modeling Specialty Group
Geographic Information Science and Systems Specialty Group
Human Dimensions of Global Change Specialty Group
Note * represents the speaker